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首台钠离子电池试验车亮相,有望打破电车价格底线

2023-02-27

近日,市场消息显示,由思皓新能源与中科海钠联合打造的行业首台钠离子电池试验车公开亮相,此次试验车中搭载的是应用蜂窝电池技术的钠离子电池包。此前中科海钠已经推出了三款钠离子电池,此次正式搭载在试验车当中测试,预示着离正式商用化已经不远。


一旦钠离子电池正式商用化,加上钠电池成本有望低于磷酸铁锂电池,将带动电动汽车价格进一步下降,加速电动汽车的渗透率。

首台钠离子电池试验车正式亮相

此次亮相的钠离子电池试验车由中科海钠与思皓新能源联合打造,思皓新能源为江汽集团与大众集团的合资品牌。2017年成立的中科海钠则是专注于钠离子电池研发与制造,也是国内首家钠离子电池公司,该公司从关键核心材料到电芯制造以及系统应用等进行了全方位的布局。
近期中科海钠推出了三款电芯产品,这些钠离子电池可被应用在两轮车、乘用车、商用车、家庭及工商业储能、规模储能等领域。此次所推出的首台钠离子电池试验车,便是由海钠电池所驱动。
数据显示,该款车型CLTC续航里程为252km,0-100公里加速为5.5秒,电池容量达到25KWh,最高时速可达120km,快充充电时间为15-20分钟。与锂离子电池相比,钠电池的能量密度已经接近于磷酸铁锂电池120-180Wh/kg的水平。
从本身的电池特性来看,钠离子电池的循环寿命达到3000次以上,美国Natron Energy公司所研发的钠离子电池更是可以循环10000次,不仅远高于铅酸电池的300次左右,同时还高于磷酸铁锂电池的2000次。
同时,钠离子电池的内阻要比锂电池更高,在短路情况下的瞬时发热量少,热失控温度也要高于锂电池,具有更高的安全性。对于过充过放、短路、穿刺、挤压等测试,钠电池也能够不起火、不爆炸。
工作温度上,钠离子电池可以在-40℃-80℃的温度区间正常工作,并且在-20℃的环境下容量保持率接近90%,这项性能要优于锂离子电池。
不过钠离子的能量密度相比锂离子电池偏低,如宁德时代发布的第一代钠离子电池能量密度差不多在160Wh/kg,比磷酸铁锂电池要低,更无法与三元锂电池250Wh/kg的能量密度相比。
因此钠离子电池的主要使用场景还是在对能量密度要求不高的领域,如低速电动车、储能领域、两轮电动车等。宁德时代去年便公开表示,在乘用车应用方面,钠电池普遍可以满足续航400公里以下的车型需求。
宁德时代还推出了AB电池系统集成技术,实现钠锂混搭,提升电池系统的能量密度,使钠电池有望扩展到500公里续航车型,这一续航需求已经能够满足65%的使用市场。
目前尚不清楚钠锂电池中各种离子的占比,但就像是油电混动车一样,随着技术的发展,也将实现更好的平衡,让钠离子电池的有更大的用武之地。
就像思皓新能源的负责人所言,判断钠离子电池在新能源汽车市场应用将从A00级电动车开始,未来等钠离子电池与性能进一步成熟后,将在合适的时机推出相关产品。

钠离子电池有望让电动汽车进入万元市场

不仅是传艺科技、宁德时代等企业开始布局钠离子电池,行业内包括如鹏辉能源、多氟多、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、维科技术、孚能科技等多家企业,都不约而同的选择押注钠离子电池。
一方面在于我国锂资源相对稀缺,全球锂矿高度集中在智利、澳大利亚、阿根廷,2021年数据显示,这三个国家锂资源储量占全球72%,而我国锂资源储量仅占7%,并且开采难度大、成本高,锂资源80%依赖于进口。
而钠的储量丰富,目前探明地壳中钠元素的含量为锂的1000倍以上,而中国钠资源储量占到全球的22%,更丰富的储量能够匹配国内快速发展的动力电池以及储能产业。
并且由于钠离子电池与锂离子电池工作原理基本相同,电池结构相似,因此锂离子电池的技术、设备均可用于钠离子电池的生产,商用化道路更简单。
储量丰富,技术成熟,让钠离子电池的成本有望大幅低于锂离子电池。据中科海钠此前透露,钠离子电池产业化后,凭借更廉价的正极材料和集流体,整体材料成本有望较锂电池降低30%-40%。
举个例子,目前动力电池占纯电动汽车40%-60%的成本,取中间值按50%来算,钠离子电池即便成本下降30%,对于整车而言成本将下降15%。如今一台五菱宏光MINI EV售价为3.28万元,如果成本下降15%,意味着只需要不到2.8万便能够买到。
如果是只需要1.88万元的橙仕汽车第二代智能物流车,更换为钠离子电池,最低可以到1.6万元左右,极大节省了城市物流的成本。
而这些A00级车型也恰好是目前钠离子电池的最佳应用场景,大多数选择A00级车型的用户都是成本敏感型,钠离子电池的低成本可以很好满足这部分用户的需求。
数据显示,2021年中国A00级电动车的销量为89.02万辆,新能源车的渗透率为27.04%,2022年1-11月的A00级电动车销量为125万辆,但新能源车渗透率下降至21.77%,主要是由于锂电池价格上涨,倒逼新能源汽车价格上调,让渗透率下降。而钠离子电池的加入,有望让渗透率继续上升。
不过想要实现低价的钠离子电池,目前还比较困难。一方面在于钠离子电池所需的正极、负极和电解液均未实现大规模量产,导致成本较高且产品性能、价格差异较大。
据国联证券数据显示,目前层状氧化物正极为8万元/吨,硬碳负极8.5万元/吨,电解液15万元/吨,测算得出钠离子电池BOM成本约为0.67元/Wh,基本与磷酸铁锂电池相当。
从国内市场来看,钠离子电池仍处于发展初期阶段,还未建立起和锂离子电池一样成熟的上下游产业链体系,即便是如宁德时代、维科技术、孚能科技等企业,虽然明确了产能规划,但也是出于量产布局的初期,其他企业更是处于测试阶段。
因此,钠离子电池最具优势的成本上,目前体现并不明显,甚至由于上下游还未成熟,导致生产成本要更高。据中国电池产业研究院院长吴辉透露,钠电池产业化发展将在2025年之后,业内多位专家预测,钠电池产业化过程最低也需要两年左右,甚至三至五年,届时钠电池成本才会真正低于锂电池。

写在最后

思皓新能源与中科海钠此次所推出的行业首台钠离子电池试验车,预示着钠离子电动车从“0”到“1”的开始。不过由于钠离子的成本低、安全性高、充电快、能量密度低等特点,让其应用场景局限在500公里续航业内的电动车、储能电池及IDC备用电源等场景。
这也说明,钠离子电池并非是用来取代锂离子电池,而是两者相互补充。锂离子电池主要用于长续航领域,价格更贵,而钠离子则注重于短距离运输,比如城市代步车,价格也更便宜。

当然,由于钠离子电池的产业链尚未成熟,成本优势目前无法体现,想要实现可能需要等到2025年以后。或许在那时,我们就能够开上价值仅万元的电动汽车出行。


Recently, market news showed that the industrys first sodium-ion battery test vehicle jointly built by Sihao New Energy and China Science and Technology Group Co., Ltd. was made public. This test vehicle was equipped with a sodium-ion battery package using cellular battery technology. Prior to that, CNOOC has launched three types of sodium ion batteries. This time, it was officially carried in the test vehicle for testing, indicating that it is not far from the official commercialization.
Once the sodium ion battery is officially commercialized, and the cost of sodium battery is expected to be lower than that of lithium iron phosphate battery, it will drive the price of electric vehicles to further decline and accelerate the penetration of electric vehicles.

The first sodium-ion battery test vehicle was officially unveiled
The sodium-ion battery test vehicle unveiled this time was jointly built by CNOOC and Sihao New Energy, a joint venture brand of Jiangqi Group and Volkswagen Group. Zhongkehai Sodium, established in 2017, is focused on the research and development and manufacturing of sodium ion batteries, and is also the first sodium ion battery company in China. The company has carried out a comprehensive layout from key core materials to cell manufacturing and system applications.
In the near future, China Kehai Sodium has launched three battery cell products. These sodium ion batteries can be used in two-wheeled vehicles, passenger cars, commercial vehicles, household and industrial and commercial energy storage, large-scale energy storage and other fields. The first sodium ion battery test vehicle launched this time is driven by sea sodium battery.
The data shows that the CLTC of this model has a range of 252km, an acceleration of 5.5 seconds from 0-100km, a battery capacity of 25KWh, a maximum speed of 120km per hour, and a fast charging time of 15-20 minutes. Compared with lithium ion battery, the energy density of sodium battery is close to 120-180Wh/kg of lithium iron phosphate battery.
From the perspective of its battery characteristics, the cycle life of the sodium ion battery has reached more than 3000 times. The sodium ion battery developed by Natron Energy in the United States can cycle more than 10000 times, which is not only far higher than about 300 times of the lead-acid battery, but also higher than 2000 times of the lithium iron phosphate battery.
At the same time, the internal resistance of the sodium ion battery is higher than that of the lithium battery, the instantaneous heat output is less in the case of short circuit, and the temperature of thermal runaway is also higher than that of the lithium battery, which has higher safety. For overcharge and discharge, short circuit, puncture, extrusion and other tests, the sodium battery can also be free from fire and explosion.
In terms of working temperature, the sodium ion battery can work normally in the temperature range of - 40 ℃ - 80 ℃, and the capacity retention rate is close to 90% in the environment of - 20 ℃, which is better than the lithium ion battery.
However, the energy density of sodium ion is lower than that of lithium ion battery. For example, the energy density of the first generation of sodium ion battery released by Ningde Times is about 160Wh/kg, which is lower than that of lithium iron phosphate battery, and can not be compared with the energy density of ternary lithium battery of 250Wh/kg.
Therefore, the main use scenarios of sodium ion batteries are still in areas where the energy density is not high, such as low-speed electric vehicles, energy storage, two-wheel electric vehicles, etc. Ningde Times said publicly last year that in terms of passenger car applications, sodium batteries can generally meet the needs of vehicles with a range of less than 400 kilometers.
Ningde Times also launched the AB battery system integration technology to realize the combination of sodium and lithium, improve the energy density of the battery system, and make the sodium battery expected to expand to 500km endurance vehicles. This endurance demand has been able to meet 65% of the use market.
At present, the proportion of various ions in the sodium lithium battery is not clear, but like the gas-electric hybrid vehicle, with the development of technology, it will also achieve a better balance and make the sodium ion battery more useful.
As the person in charge of Sihao New Energy said, it is judged that the application of sodium ion batteries in the new energy vehicle market will start from A00 electric vehicles. In the future, when the sodium ion batteries and performance are further mature, relevant products will be launched at the appropriate time.
Sodium ion battery is expected to let electric vehicles enter the 10000 yuan market
It is not only Chuanyi Technology, Ningde Times and other enterprises that have begun to lay out sodium ion batteries, but also many enterprises in the industry, including Penghui Energy, Dofluoro, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Xinwanda, Vico Technology, Funeng Technology and so on, have all chosen to bet on sodium ion batteries.
On the one hand, Chinas lithium resources are relatively scarce. The global lithium mines are highly concentrated in Chile, Australia and Argentina. According to the data in 2021, these three countries account for 72% of the global lithium resources reserves, while Chinas lithium resources reserves only account for 7%. It is difficult and costly to exploit, and 80% of lithium resources depend on imports.
The reserves of sodium are abundant. At present, the content of sodium in the crust is more than 1000 times that of lithium, while the reserves of sodium resources in China account for 22% of the world. The more abundant reserves can match the rapidly developing power battery and energy storage industry in China.
And because the working principle of the sodium ion battery is basically the same as that of the lithium ion battery, and the battery structure is similar, the technology and equipment of the lithium ion battery can be used for the production of the sodium ion battery, and the commercialization road is simpler.
With abundant reserves and mature technology, the cost of sodium ion battery is expected to be significantly lower than that of lithium ion battery. According to Zhongkehai Sodium, after the industrialization of sodium ion battery, the overall material cost is expected to be reduced by 30% - 40% compared with lithium battery by virtue of cheaper cathode material and fluid collector.
For example, at present, the power battery accounts for 40% - 60% of the cost of pure electric vehicles. Taking the median value as 50%, even if the cost of sodium ion battery decreases by 30%, the cost of the whole vehicle will decrease by 15%. At present, a Wuling Hongguang MINI EV sells for 32800 yuan. If the cost decreases by 15%, it means that it can be purchased with less than 28000 yuan.
If it is the second generation intelligent logistics vehicle of Orange Auto, which only needs 1.88 million yuan, it can be replaced with a sodium ion battery, which can be as low as about 16000 yuan, greatly saving the cost of urban logistics.
These A00 models are also the best application scenarios for sodium ion batteries at present. Most users who choose A00 models are cost-sensitive. The low cost of sodium ion batteries can well meet the needs of these users.
According to the data, the sales volume of A00 electric vehicles in China in 2021 was 890200, and the penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 27.04%. The sales volume of A00 electric vehicles in January-November 2022 was 1.25 million, but the penetration rate of new energy vehicles dropped to 21.77%, mainly due to the rising price of lithium batteries, which forced the price of new energy vehicles to rise, and let the penetration rate drop. The addition of sodium ion batteries is expected to continue to increase the penetration rate.
However, it is still difficult to realize low-cost sodium ion batteries. On the one hand, the cathode, cathode and electrolyte required for sodium ion batteries have not been mass produced, resulting in high costs and large differences in product performance and price.
According to the data of Guolian Securities, the current layered oxide anode is 80000 yuan/ton, hard carbon anode is 85000 yuan/ton, and electrolyte is 150000 yuan/ton. It is estimated that the BOM cost of sodium ion battery is about 0.67 yuan/Wh, which is basically equivalent to lithium iron phosphate battery.
From the perspective of the domestic market, the sodium ion battery is still in the early stage of development, and the upstream and downstream industry chain system as mature as the lithium ion battery has not been established. Even though enterprises such as Ningde Times, Vico Technology, and Funeng Technology have made clear their capacity planning, it is also in the early stage of mass production layout, and other enterprises are in the testing stage.
Therefore, the most advantageous cost of sodium ion batteries is not obvious at present, even because the upstream and downstream are not mature, resulting in higher production costs. According to Wu Hui, president of the China Battery Industry Research Institute, the industrialization of sodium batteries will be developed after 2025. Many experts in the industry predict that the industrialization process of sodium batteries will take about two years, even three to five years, at which time the cost of sodium batteries will really be lower than that of lithium batteries.
Write at the end
The first sodium-ion battery test vehicle in the industry launched by Sihao New Energy and Zhongke Haina indicates the beginning of sodium-ion electric vehicles from 0 to 1. However, due to the low cost, high safety, fast charging, low energy density and other characteristics of sodium ion, its application scenarios are limited to electric vehicles, energy storage batteries and IDC standby power supply in the 500km range industry.
This also shows that sodium ion batteries are not used to replace lithium ion batteries, but complement each other. Lithium-ion batteries are mainly used in the field of long life, and the price is more expensive, while sodium ion batteries focus on short distance transportation, such as urban courtesy cars, and the price is also cheaper.
Of course, because the industry chain of sodium ion battery is not mature, the cost advantage cannot be reflected at present. It may need to wait until 2025 to realize it. Perhaps at that time, we will be able to drive electric cars worth only ten thousand yuan.